5 February 2003
...human
futures are unpredictable and it is futile to think that past trends
will forecast coming patterns. The trajectory of technology might
offer some opportunity for predicting the future... But even the
'pure' history of science features unanticipated findings, and must
also contend with nature's stubborn tendency to frustrate our expectations...
Moreover any forecast about the future must consider the incendiary
instability generated by interaction between technological change
and the wierd ways of human conduct, both individual and social.
Stephen Jay Gould ("Unpredictable Patterns," in Predictions,
p.145.)
29 January 2003
...if rationality
were the criterion for things being allowed to exist, the world
would be one gigantic field of soya beans! Tom Stoppard (Jumpers,
p.40)
22 January 2003
...in
the act of deciding, the mind attempts the work of the historian:
breaking the potential events down into their component parts, enumerating
conditions, seeking covering laws that will allow a prediction of
what will follow from the variety of possible choices. Alternative
futures branch like dendrites away from the present moment, shifting
chaotically, pulled this way and that by attractors dimly perceived.
Probable outcomes emerge from those less likely.
Kim Stanley Robinson ("A Sensitive Dependence," in Vinland
the Dream and Other Stories, pp. 150-151.)
Their
world that had seemed stable for so long was now changing all too
rapidly, and men like Palmer and Perkins only half understood what
was happening. They might have recognized in their strange companion
what some of today's middle-aged recognize in the young electronics
visionaries: that Smith was a man who, though part of their world,
still had a view that was somehow larger than theirs, that he had
firm sight of a future that he somehow knew was better, as
well as being a future that was definably different and, most crucially,
utterly unlike the world of the present. Smith knew that he stood
on the edge of something; and that knowledge, that certainty, set
him apart, and made more ordinary men uneasy. Simon Winchester
(The Map That Changed the World,
p.100)
15 January 2003
If one advances
confidently in the direction of his dreams, and endeavors to live
the life which he has imagined, he will meet with success unexpected
in common hours. Henry David Thoreau
The future belongs to
those who believe in the beauty of their dreams. Eleanor Roosevelt
The future is an emergent
property of the complex system by which we adapt to the infinite
possibilities inherent in the moving present. Wendy Schultz
Every time I walk into
a meeting or workshop, I look at the people in the room, remind
myself of the depth of experience, the breadth of ideas, and the
heights of energy and enthusiasm they represent, and am exhilarated
by our joint potential to create. (polished paraphrase of a sentiment
expressed by) Joan McPherson, Grove Consultants
Laughter is the shortest
distance between two people. Victor Borge
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